Probability, statistics, and measurement
BRIDGE · EE Foundations Bridge · ~10 min
Measure the same receptacle five times and you'll get five slightly different readings — 119.8, 120.1, 119.9, 120.3, 120.0. Statistics turns that scatter into knowledge: the mean (average, here 120.02 V) is your best estimate; the standard deviation measures the spread, i.e. how much any single reading can be trusted.
Your meter's spec sheet speaks this language: an accuracy of ±(0.5% + 2 digits) is a probabilistic promise about where the true value lies. Understanding it separates a real deviation from instrument noise — chasing noise is how afternoons get wasted.
Probability also underlies why demand factors exist (Unit 2.3): not all loads run at once, and the 35% discount on lighting load beyond 3 000 VA is a statistical statement about diversity, baked into the code.
Go deeper: MIT's Fundamentals of Statistics and the free Grinstead & Snell probability text — Semester 2 of the Go Deeper pathway.
Quiz — 3 questions
1. Readings 10, 12, 14 have a mean of:
2. A larger standard deviation in repeated measurements means:
3. NEC demand factors (like 35% beyond 3 000 VA) exist because: